Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew has been in good form this week and he has four selections at Haydock, Newbury and Yarmouth on Thursday, June 30th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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HAYDOCK 2.30
CAPTAIN WINTERS (system – Kevin Ryan, Lope De Vega)
Kevin Ryan clearly has a soft spot for progeny of the sire Lope De Vega and the 12 individual representatives he’s trained include multiple winners Mount Tahan, Flying Spear, Ayutthaya, Weekend Offender and Roulston Scar. We could have bet all 122 runners and made a small profit (+£12.40). They don’t usually peak until their three-year-old season but CAPTAIN WINTERS ran so well over course and distance on his recent debut that I can’t let this juvenile go unbacked. Sent off at 8-1, he finished fourth under an educational ride and will heave learnt plenty from that.
YARMOUTH 4.20
HI LO SILVER (system – Chris Wall, second run after a break)
Chris Wall has a solid record with horses having their second run back after a break of at least 150 days (provided the second run took place within 90 days). He’s sent out 65 winners from 338 runners on this angle in the past 15 years for a profit of £49.47. HI LO SILVER won second time out last season and placed on his second outing in 2020 and in 2019. The big field/likely strong gallop will suit and he can reward each-way support.
NEWBURY 5.53
STATU OF LIBERTY (system – Brian Meehan 2yo newcomers, June onwards)
Brian Meehan’s juveniles have a reputation for improving for their initial outing but in recent years he’s had plenty of debut winners. Since 2018, the colts and fillies have a nine from 62 record from June onwards (14.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £55.50 to a £1 stake. STATU OF LIBERTY is a half-sister to ten winners, five of whom scored on their racecourse debuts, and she could go well if her stall 14 draw is no inconvenience.
NEWBURY 7.03
MAKAROVA (system – Ed Walker, 3yo sprint handicappers)
Simply backing every three-year-old trainer Ed Walker ran in a sprint handicap would have found 47 winners from 219 runners (21.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £22.26 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who were beaten on their latest outing were 40 from 175 (22.9%) for a profit of £43.16. MAKAROVA won twice in Class 5 handicaps at Salisbury before disappointing in Class 2 company at York last time when possibly failing to handle the track. She drops down to Class 4 level and can bounce back tonight.
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