More ITV racing tips and trends to get stuck into this Friday (3rd June) as we’ve one of the season highlights – the Epsom Oaks fixture. Some of the best 3 year-old fillies will line-up for the Epsom Classic at 4:30pm, where the Frankie Dettori-ridden Emily Upjohn is the hot Epsom Oaks favourite.
Andy Newton is on hand with all the ITV horse races at Epsom with key trends and tips on Oaks Day, Friday 3rd June.
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Epsom Horse Racing Trends and ITV Racing Tips (RacingTV/ITV) – Friday 3rd June 2022
2.00 – CAZOO WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV
19/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
18/19 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/19 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
15/19 – Had 2 or more previous runs
15/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/19 – Yet to win over 6f
10/19 – Won their previous race
9/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
10 of the last 13 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (7)
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: With 15 of the last 19 winners of this race coming from stall 5 or lower, then Mr Postman, Kessaar Power, Blatant, Keep Bidding and Shandy Star will have this trend on their side. Of that bunch – BLATANT @ 6/1 with BetUK and KEEP BIDDING (e/w) @ 9/2 with BetUK – get the call.
Blatant, who is drawn 3, was last seen winning easily at Leicester by 3 1/4 lengths and with that being his first win (from four runs) it seems he’s finally getting the hang of things and despite this being a step up heads here in top form.
Keep Bidding, has been handed draw 4, and hails from the Ralph Beckett yard that has a 38% record with his 2 year-olds at the course. This 2 year-old filly was a fair second on debut at Nottingham at the end of May and with the expected improvement over this extra furlong looks interesting.
Of the rest, Commander Straker will be popular too after a good win at Bath, but will have to overcome stall 12. Legend Of Xanadu represents the Mick Channon yard that have on this race twice in the last 19 years, while Estate and Self Praise are others to note in the betting.
2.35 – WORLD POOL HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y
15/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
12/18 – Placed last time out
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Carried 9-1 or more
8/18 – Raced at the track before
5/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 13 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
Corazon Espinado (12/1) won the race in 2021
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Corazon Espinado won this race last year so has to be considered, but although winning from stall 10 twelve months ago it won’t be easy from draw 16 this time and hasn’t won a race since.
It’s another race those drawn lower have gone well in – 12 of the last 18 came from stalls 9 or lower. Of those with a lower draw – Fireworks, Totally Charming Excel Power, Fantastic Fox and Revich are intesting.
Excel Power will be popular after winning his last three, but is up another 6lbs here and so will need to improve further.
The two of interest then are REVICH (e/w) @ 10/1 with BetUK and FANTASTIC FOX (e/w) @ 9/1 with BetUK. The last-named blew away the cobwebs last time at Haydock in the race Excel Power won, but was only beaten 3 3/4 lengths and is is 11lbs better off this time. Draw 8 is fine and that last run also came off a 210-day break and was his first after being gelded.
Revich was third at Chester last time – beaten just 1/2 a length. This Richard Spencer runner gets in off the same rating, while he did well the last day considering he didn’t get the best of runs either. He’s also a course winner so we know the tricky Epsom track suits and top jockey – Jim Crowley – has been booked to ride.
RELATED: Epsom Derby Latest Odds | Epsom Derby Results | Epsom Races Today
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3.10 – DAHLBURY CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV
20/20 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
19/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
17/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/20 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (5 won)
8/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/20 – Won their last race
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Had run at Epsom before
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Pyledriver (8/1) won the race in 2021
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: It’s hard to knock the good record of the Aidan O’Brien yard in this race – winning it 8 times since 2005. They run High Definition here, who is the second top-rated in the field, but the worry with him would be the trip.
This 4 year-old is now 7 races without a win too and has been beaten in every race at 1m2f, 1m4f and 1m6f that he’s run in.
We’ve also got last year’s winner in the race – Pyledriver – who will be popular with Frankie Dettori riding. He was last seen running 4th in the Sheema Classic at Meydan (Dubai) and being the top-rated and the only CD winner in the field will have his supporters.
Living Legend is the only recent winner in the field – winning his last three and looks a fast-improving middle-distance performer from the Mark Johnston yard. But improved again to win the Group Two Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket and deserves his chance at this top-level race.
The ones we’ll be playing here though are MANOBO @ 9/4 with BetUK and the danger HUKUM @ 24/5 with BetUK. The former comes from the Godolphin team that last won this in 2020 and won’t have any stamina issues having won over 1m6f. He’s won 4 of his 5 starts on the grass and his only defeat was a close second over 2m last time – just getting nabbed late on.
Hukum ran down the field in the Sheema Classic last time (7th) but was actually only beaten 1 3/4 lengths. He’s still won a massive 7 of his 12 runs on the grass – including 4 of his last six. Yes, he’s just fallen short in the two times he’s tried G1 class, but is still a high-class 1m4f horse that – like the other pick – has won over further.
3.45 – CAZOO Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f ITV
17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 – Came from stall 9 or lower
13/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/18 – Rated between 86-98
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Irish bred
11/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/18 – Had raced at the track before
6/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
Victory Chime was second in the 2021 race
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: With 14 of the last 18 winners coming from stalls 9 or lower and 15 of the last 18 winning horses aged 4 or 5, then the in-form William Knight runner – MOKTASAAB @ 10/3 with BetUK gets the verdict.
This 4 year-old has been handed draw 7 and has returned this season with top wins at Newbury and Goodwood. He’s up another 5lbs here so will need to kick-on again but this Harry Redknapp-owned runner looks a big player to hit the back of the net again.
Of the rest, CD winner Soto Sizzler, Royal Champion, Cap Francis and The City’s Phantom are others to respect, while last year’s runner-up Victory Chime is another to look out for but will need to overcome a wdie draw in 14.
Bad Company – who bolted up by 3 1/2 lengths the last day for the Jim Boyle yard, is another to note. He’s up 6lbs for that here, but that looks a fair rise, plus has also run three times here at Epsom so that track knowledge will help.
But the other pick is ROYAL CHAMPION (e/w) @ 8/1 with BetUK. This Roger Varian runner has a top draw in 1 and is one of the lesser exposed runners in the field with only four outings. He’s been gelded since his last run at Doncaster too, but that came in a Listed race and before that was deemed good enough to run in the G2 Dante Stakes in 2021. Back into a handicap here, he’s interesting with Andrea Atzeni riding.
4.30 – CAZOO Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV
20/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
17/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
13/20 – Won from stall 5 or higher
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/20 – Irish-trained winners
6/20 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/20 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/20 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 15 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 8 runnings.
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 20 runnings
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: The Epsom Oaks has been dominated by since 2014 by trainers John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien – they’ve won the last eight runnings between them – and, if the betting is anything to go by, it will be a big shock if one of the pair isn’t collecting again.
O’Brien Has Four Oaks Entries
O’Brien has four in the race – The Algarve, Thoughts Of June, Tuesday and Concert Hall – with the last two looking their better chances.
Concert Hall was last seen runinng third in the Irish 1000 Guineas at the Curragh and having won over 1m2f the time before looks well worth a crack over this longer trip.
Tuesday also have some solid name in the book already – also running in the Irish 1000 Guineas (2nd) and prior to that was third in the English 1000 Guineas. Being by former Derby winner Galileo, she could also improve now stepping up from a mile to 1m4f for the first time.
Gosden’s Emily Upjohn Heads The Epsom Oaks Betting
After winning all three of her starts to date, the John Gosden yard will be housing the Epsom Oaks favourite here – EMILY UPJOHN @ 5/4 with BetUK. She was a super-impressive winner of the Musidora Stakes at York last month (5 1/2 lengths) and certainly wasn’t stopping over that 1m 2 1/2f trip to suggest this longer distance will be fine.
Her sire is also the 2009 Epsom Derby winner – Sea The Stars – which further suggests she’ll be okay over this 1m4f trip.
With Frankie Dettori, who has won the Epsom Oaks three times in the last five years, riding she’ll also have every assistance in the saddle as Gosden eyes his fourth success in this race.
Gosden also has a useful back-up horse in Nashwa, who Emily Upjohn lot live up to her billing. This 3 year-old will have and added sub plot with Hollie Doyle riding as she looks to become the first lady rider to win an English Classic.
She’s won her last two in good fashion, with the last coming in a Listed race at Newbury over 1m2f – she’s certainly no back number.
Best Of The Rest
The Godolphin yard last won the Epsom Oaks back in 2002 (Kazzia), so will be hoping their WITH THE MOONLIGHT (e/w) @ 19/2 with BetUK can end that 19 year spell without a win. She has a squeak too – having bolted-up by just under 5 lengths last time in the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket over 1m2f.
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Note: Odds are subject to change
Related At The Cazoo Derby Festival: It’s also the Epsom Derby at the two-day meeting on Saturday 4th June. We’ve got the best Epsom Derby betting sites listed that you can take advantage of many Epsom free bets. Plus, our SportsLens horse racing experts are on hand with their Epsom Derby tips, while we’ll also have the latest Epsom Derby odds and Epsom Derby results throughout the two-day Festival.
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2022 Epsom Oaks Meeting Race Times and Names
Friday 3rd June 2022
- 2:00 – Cazoo Woodcote British EBF Stakes (Conditions Race) (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV
- 2:35 – World Pool Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m½f ITV
- 3:10 – Dahlbury Coronation Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV
- 3:45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m2f ITV
- 4:30 – Cazoo Oaks (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4f ITV
- 5:10 – Poundland Surrey Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f RTV
- 5:45 – Cazoo Derby Festival Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 7f RTV
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