The NAP of the Day on Tuesday, 9 November, according to SportsLens experts, is Lost In Montmartre in the 2m 5f handicap chase at Hereford (2:22). She appeals as the top Bet of the Day at Evens.
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Forfeiting an engagement at Kempton yesterday and running here instead, Alastair Ralph’s mare is a course and distance winner carrying bottom weight. Lost In Montmartre only has two rivals against her, so it looks a nice opportunity to follow-up off 4lb higher. She therefore rates the NAP of the Day today. Find out more reasons why this five-year-old daughter of Montmartre is the best value Bet of the Day at Evens below…
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Why will NAP of the Day Lost In Montmartre win?
Ralph does really well with his small team of horses, so the stable is one to follow. The yard has sent out a dozen winners already this season. Lost In Montmartre represents an outfit with an 18 per cent strike rate at Hereford with its runners too. She enhanced that record with victory here against fellow mares last time out in October.
Lost In Montmartre made all the running. When shaken up by Alex Edwards, who is again in the saddle and taking 3lb off with his claim, she kept on strongly for a comfortable 9 1/2 lengths victory. That last run saw Lost In Montmartre dominate two rivals, and she again has a small field in opposition today.
This grey mare now steps into open company and a better class 3 contest. However, the two geldings against Lost In Montmartre concede lumps of weight to her. The assessor didn’t take the margin of victory literally from her last win and only upped her rating by 4lb. Lost In Montmartre thus sneaks in at the foot of the handicap.
Taking Edwards’ claim into account, she has a featherweight of 9st 12lb under National Hunt Rules on her back here. Lord Bryan is twice her age, while Neville’s Cross must give Lost In Montmartre two stone. It looks a great chance for her to follow-up, then. Punters can double their money on Lost In Montmartre at her current odds, so a £25 wager returns £50 if she wins. If she doesn’t score again, then QuinnBet refunds the losing stake as a free bet.
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