Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the Epsom Derby (4th June 2022) 8 times already and has a strong hand to make it nine after his exciting 3 year-old STONE AGE won Sunday’s Leopardstown Derby Trial by an impressive 5 1/2 lengths – it was no shock to see this Galileo colt shoot to the head of the Epsom Derby betting after that win.
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Stone Age Shoots To Head Of 2022 Epsom Derby Betting Market
Yes, bookmakers wasted no time in reacting to Stone Age’s ultra-impressive Leopardstown Derby Trial win on Sunday, by cutting the Galileo colt into favourite for the 2022 Epsom Derby, which will be run on Saturday 4th June.
You can see the betting for the main Epsom runners below, with 888Sport cutting Stone Age to @ 5/2 for the four English Classic of the new flat season in early June.
That recent win was only this 3 year-old’s second career win after failing to win a race in his opening five starts in 2021.
However, he’s clearly thrived over the winter months and has returned another year older and looking a much stronger horse. The step up in trip on better ground has been the key and there could be even more to come when stepped up to the Derby trip of 1m4f next month.
O’Brien Has A Strong Derby Hand
It’s not just Stone Age that the 8-time Epsom Derby winning trainer – Aidan O’Brien – will have in his corner as he also unleashed Star Of India @ 11/1 with 888Sport and Changingoftheguard @ 11/2 with 888Sport to win the Dee Stakes and the Chester Vase at last week’s Chester May Festival.
Add in Point Lonsdale @ 14/1 with 888Sport and United Nations @ 12/1 with 888Sport , then O’Brien actually has 5 of the top eight in the Epsom Derby market (as of 9th May 2022).
Ryan Moore Expected To Stick With Stone Age For Derby
The biggest clue ahead of the Aidan O’Brien Derby runners is that top jockey Ryan Moore, who gets the pick of the Ballydoyle runners, is fully expected to stick with Stone Age.
Moore rode both Star Of India and Changingoftheguard at Chester last week, but the vibes are that Moore will continue his partnership with Stone Age and that could see his Epsom Derby betting odds shorten further.
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Trainer Aidan O’Brien Spoke To The Racing Post About Stone Age
“I think he would find it hard to not ride the horse from yesterday.”
“No, he didn’t really surprise me, we always thought he was a very high-class horse”
“If you look back at his runs, the day he was beaten in the Group race at Leopardstown he was staying on all the way to the line. In France over a mile and a quarter on soft ground he ran on all the way to the line as well. If you look at what happened to these horses in their races [at two], you can always see there is much better to come.”
“Leopardstown is a big, open galloping track. At Chester the horses were turning, it’s a different test to Leopardstown. It’s hard not to be impressed with Stone Age. You’d like to have something to have led him, but there was no point in messing him about.”
“Ryan let him bowl along as he has a lot of experience at two and he was happy to get a lead at two. He’d have learned a lot last year. We were running him and teaching him. He learned a lot in those races. I’d imagine Ryan will find it hard not to ride him [at Epsom].”
O’Brien added: “We know the way they will be ridden if they all run. Changingoftheguard will go forward, as will Stone Age. Star Of India will go forward, but he is a little lazy so might tuck in and take a lead. United Nations seemed to stay well and will go forward as well.”
Epsom Derby Betting Trends To Help Find The Winner
- 19/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
- 18/20 – Raced no more than 5 times before
- 18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 16/20 – Had won a Group race before
- 16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/20 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
- 13/20 – Won last time out
- 13/20 – Won from a single-figure stall
- 12/20 – Favourites that were placed
- 11/20 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
- 10/20 – Irish-trained winners
- 8/20 – Had won a Group One before
- 7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 8 in all)
- 6/20 – Won by the favourite
- 5/20 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
- 4/20 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
- 4/20 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
- 3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
- 2/20 – Won over 1m4f before
- 1/20 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar)
- 0/20 – Run at the course before
- The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 8/1
- 10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
- Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018 and 2020
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