It’s the first English Classic of the new flat turf season at Newmarket – as all eyes are on the 3 year-old colts for the 2000 Guineas (3:40pm). We’ve got all the main 2000 Guineas trends and tips ahead of Saturday’s big race (30th April) to help you find the winner, plus an array of cracking 2000 Guineas free bets to use.
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2000 Guineas Trends and Stats for 2022 Newmarket Race
- 20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 18/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
- 18/20 – Had won a Group race before
- 18/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
- 16/20 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
- 16/20 – Won last time out
- 14/20 – Having their first run of the season
- 13/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
- 12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 12/20 – Placed favourites
- 12/20 – Won by an Irish-based yard
- 11/20 – Irish bred
- 9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
- 8/20 – Had won over a mile before
- 7/20 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
- 6/20 – Winning favourites
- 5/20 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
- 5/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
- 4/20 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
- 3/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
- 7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
- The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1
- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016
2000 Guineas Tips and Best Bets
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the 2000 Guineas a record 10 times, so his runners are always feared – he runs Point Lonsdale @ 12/1 with 888Sport (Frankie Dettori) and Luxembourg @ 11/2 with 888Sport (Ryan Moore) this year and both have live chances.
Jockey Ryan Moore would have had the pick of the O’Brien runners – therefore, the fact he’s chosen Luxembourg suggests this unbeaten Camelot colt is their favoured of the pair. He was last seen winning the Vertum Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster last October – a race that’s often a good guide to the 2000 Guineas. He also holds an Epsom Derby entry.
However, the horse that all the others seemingly have to aim at is the Godolphin-owned NATIVE TRAIL @ Evs with 888Sport, who heads here as the top-rated in the field and has won all five of his starts. He was last in action landing the Craven Stakes here earlier this month – winning by 3 1/2 lengths – so we know the track is fine too.
Prior to that, last season, he took the Group One Dewhurst Stakes – a race that 4 of the last 20 2000 Guineas winners landed – and has so far won 4 of his 5 starts by 2 or more lengths). William Buick rides and he comes from the in-form Charlie Appleby yard that have a 29% strike-rate with their 3 year-olds at the track.
Best Of The Rest
Godolphin also have a live back-up chance with Coroebus @ 5/1 with 888Sport, who is also a CD winner at the track after taking the Autumn Stakes here last October – he’s also trained by Appleby.
However, the two at bigger prices to have an interest in are PERFECT POWER @ 11/1 with 888Sport and BOUNDLESS OCEAN @ 28/1 with 888Sport. The former was a nice winner last time at Newbury in the Greenham Stakes and will come here race fit from that victory and jockey Christophe Soumillion has made no secret that he like the horse.
Boundless Ocean could also go well at a nice price, being trained by the shrewd Jim Bolger, who won this race 12 months ago. He was a good winner last time at Leopardstown over 1m2f so connections are sure to make full use of that proven stamina now dropped back to a mile.
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Recent 2000 Guineas Winners
- 2021 – Poetic Flare (16/1)
- 2020 – Kameko (10/1)
- 2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
- 2018 – Saxon Warrior (3/1)
- 2017 – Churchill (6/4 fav)
- 2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
- 2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
- 2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
- 2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
- 2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
- 2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
- 2010 – Makfi (33/1)
- 2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
- 2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
- 2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
- 2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
- 2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
- 2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
- 2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
- 2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)
Watch the Poetic Flare Win The 2021 2000 Guineas Again
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