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75th Annual Emmys Predictions: Why This Year’s Awards May Be the Most Ridiculous Yet

75th Annual Emmys Predictions: Why This Year's Awards May Be the Most Ridiculous Yet

All awards shows are ridiculous, but this year the Emmy Awards, the highest honors in television, have a particularly ridiculous sheen. Why is that? Well, there are numerous reasons, as we’ll get into below, but here’s the biggest one: The 75th Annual Emmy Awards were delayed until January 2024 because of the SAG-AFTRA strike. This means that the shows and performers which are being recognized tonight all come from an eligibility period that stretches from June 1st, 2022 to May 31st, 2023.

June 1st, 2022, let’s be honest, feels like a very long time ago. Like, for perspective, back then the U.S. Supreme Court still believed women had a constitutional right to bodily autonomy (which would end by the end of the month) and Elon Musk was still trying to weasel his way out of buying Twitter. (Also, Twitter was still called Twitter!) All as shows like The Bear, The Old Man, Obi-Wan Kenobi, and more were still airing.

Which is to say, it’s a weird year for the Emmys, and tonight’s awards may only make things weirder. Here’s a breakdown of the major categories — who we think will win, and who actually deserves it.

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Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Succession (HBO)

Jeff Bridges, The Old Man
Brian Cox, Succession
Kieran Culkin, Succession
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Jeremy Strong, Succession

Should Win: Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Will Win: Kieran Culkin, Succession

Why It’s Ridiculous This Year: Beyond this being yet another face-off between Better Call Saul and Succession (where it’s hard to imagine Culkin losing, especially after already picking up the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Award this month)… What is Brian Cox doing here? Yes, actors have discretion over what categories they’re submitted in, but looking back at Succession Season 4… Look, we have a Supporting Actor category for a reason!

Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Succession (HBO)

Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters
Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets
Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat
Sarah Snook, Succession

Should Win: Sarah Snook, Succession
Will Win: Sarah Snook, Succession

Why It’s Ridiculous This Year: Sharon Horgan and Elisabeth Moss are nominated for shows that finished airing in October and November 2022, respectively. But in some respects, this is one of the more rational categories of the year, if only because the frontrunner is honestly the most deserving. All of these people turned in powerful performances — Bella Ramsey would be my second place finisher, and they should have at least one more shot at a win once The Last of Us Season 2 is complete.

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